oh Bric

Investors were asked "which BRIC countries they wouldn't like to Invest and the findings were rather surprising 

Brazil25%
Russia24%
India35%
China23%



Clearly the trend of investors is to disinvest from BRIC countries and buy the ever low cost assets of the European nations and United States – Germany, Italy, France and the UK are all getting better and since the asset prices of the BRIC countries are so high and some even rivals that of the developed countries are making the investors jittery and their exit much faster

New Trends in Rioting












2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Total
Incidents
711
677
779
698
761
943
826
701
580
668
7344
Injured
2261
2132
2066
2170
2227
2354
2424
2138
1899
3117
22788
Killed
193
134
124
133
99
167
125
116
91
94
1276

Legend

Pre-election year
Election Year
Post Election Year
Mid term Year



There are close to 734 riots every year in India with 2278 people getting injured and 127 people losing their precious life. The Average is 5.6 deaths per 100 injured in communal riots. The graph above shows the trend line shown in dotted lines shows there is a growing trend towards communal violence in India starting 2007 and it has reached an epic proportion in 2012.

2008 saw spike in the deaths but it was followed by momentary lull in the death rate in the following two years, but the number of injures are more even though the number of incidents less than the preceding year.

The trend (in dotted lines) shows communal violence is getting more vicious, rabid and it is resulting in more casualty than before especially when we have a new kid in town.

A survey of the some states that have notably high rate of Communal violence per million people is listed below with some explanation


State
Status
Incidents
Madhya Pradesh
BJP Ruling State
965 incident of communal riots between 2005 – 20013 – state with Highest number of communal riots with only 6% Muslim population

14 Communal riots for every one million  people1
Karnataka
BJP Active (Ex-ruling party)
Second highest number of communal riots
Maharashtra
Shiv Sena **
Various incidence of violence and organized communal riots
Gujarat++
BJP Ruling State
Registered one of the worst communal riots in the recent history
Kerala
Active RSS ***
Least casualty in communal riots -highest level of literacy


1 population wise

** A regional rabid hindu nationalistic political party

++ officially between 1000 and 2000 people lost their life in 2002 communal riots , though unofficial figures are close to 5000 with most of the victims were Muslims.

*** sudden rise shakhas in kerala – a new foray of RSS in kerala ; Kerala registers the highest level of literacy and have a 30% Muslim population

National average of communal riots is around 5 per one million people with some notable exceptions


Some notable states with low communal incidents are,

States
Status
Riots per million population
Bihar
Once a hotbed of communal riots it registers a lowest communal incidents

2.8 /million
Haryana
Mostly rural around 6% muslim population with minor skirmishes

< 2 /million
Andhra Pradesh
A depleted Telgu desam party who once aligned with Hindu nationalist party now they are unpopular and there is also Telangana movement to chalk out a separate states but this state witnessed worst communal violence during 1990

< 2 /million
Chhattisgarh
Muslims are around 2%

< 2 /million
Punjab
Muslims are less than 2%

< 2 /million
West Bengal
The only exception where communal riots have not flared up even when Muslims are more than 25%
< 2 /million


Communal riots in India just don’t accidentally happen, there are meticulously planned and executed, I am sure there are planners and financier who does that. We have seen riots yet we have not seen any convictions. The brain of rioting has been cloaked by the political parties with fixed political designs. The Graphs and data presented were a simple exercise to prove it.

The minorities esp. the Muslims have been pawned and used in and around elections, number of riots increases as the election approaches , so does the severity and the casualty. The rabid hindu nationalist ideology has hijacked the polity of India and it has enormous polarizing effect in the society, often these polarizing factors have been the motivating factors in the rising communal incidents in India. Even the minorities who survives communal riots but thereafter they are subjected to extreme economic prejudice in form of loss of assets and employment.

Riots have played havoc to our economy and communal riots of epic proportion like Kandhamal in orissa (2007), Gujarat(2002), Bombay(1992), Bhagalpur(1989) and New Delhi(1984) where properties of minorities were targeted and destroyed. Some have suggested the net loss in Gujarat communal riots were close to $10 billion. We can now sense these riots are manufactured to condition sentiments towards one kind of political ideology , due to weak judiciary and mostly weak state government, the conviction rate of the rioting enterprise are abysmal.

Time for strong action in the form of  Prevention of Communal and targeted violence Bill and mandatory law making it essential to investigate these riots by special investigation team supervised by the supreme court, only accountability can act as deterrent and any other sops would be meaningless.



A Ramadan to Remember


Thirty years ago during the monsoon season in India

Thirty Years Ago ...

It started raining followed by a light drizzle, a pair of eyes slowly moved towards the adobe floor, carefully browsing the colourful food, freshly prepared for the very occasion – the holy month of Ramadan, often called ramzan in India. The little boy barely six six yrs old slowly moves his eyes towards the Gray gloomy clouds meandering in the late evening, his thoughts were suddenly broken by a firm hand put on his forehead to check his fever, he complained about the absence of fever, lack of free time to play with his friends.



As the evening came close to sundown, people started gathering around the room, a pinch of excitement, and the presence of an elderly and deeply spiritual person – suddenly there was an aura of calm , the gentle ticking of the clock, and that quick motion to check the time for iftaar - “we still have fifteen minutes to iftaar” says his father. The boy sheepishly wakes up from the notional slumber, quietly washes his face three time, washes three quarters of his hand , massages his forehead, and washes his feet three time. This entire ritual is knows as wazu or wadu or simply an ablution .



A stark voice announced his name from his elder to hurry up, the aroma of food from the nearby Kitchen has permeated his nostrils accelerated his washing, followed by a feverish dash to large room where luminaries are waiting to open the fast. The little boy huddled between his father and his brothers for the final dua, properly known as the time when God listens to the call of the humans – finally the hour came, everyone could hear the azaan, the call to the prayer. All of them started eating dates, and started gulping the sweet smelling red drink, which is followed by a sigh of relief on the faces of all the fasting gentlemen.



The small boy was handed a date , he quickly put it on his mouth and it tasted awful like bitter chocolate which he hates, next he tried his luck with the rich, red colored drink , aha tastes good but the glass is half full, so he went for refill but his brothers have emptied the jug – a quick gloom surrounded his face, not knowing what  to do next– suddenly there was a rush to vacate the room and jump start evening prayer, the first innings of opening the fast is over – the old spiritual man burped and then smiled with satisfaction – a job well done.



The rain has gathered pace and everyone huddled to the next room for the magrib prayer or the evening prayer after sundown. The little boy sheepishly followed his elders and did exactly what his brothers did. The spiritual man finished his prayers with gaiety and slowly went to the other room to start his second course of eating. The little boy was hollered by his mother and he rushed to his mom's lap and found more coloured drink which is often called rooh-afza, the summer drink of the east. The food was still fresh , and he hard time deciding on what to eat- he devoured some samosas, choley, pakoras, dahi vadas, fruit chats, and snacks.



Nightfall has settled it's time for him to take those perilous pills and say goodnight to the rest.


The Great Food Debate


Possible but not Probable

The recent debate on Food and food security bill in our country has put many into a moral quandary. The statements of the politicians as usual out of league and baseless. Some of them have suggested that we can buy or prepare a meal for Rs 1, or Rs 5 and one at Rs 12.

The number game is always amazing so lets put these numbers to test , some of my finding are like this and it amazes me how many people in politics and especially in the news media forgets there are thousands of solution and yet there are virtually no one to speak for the poor and the downtrodden, which also includes various minorities of India.


Recipe
 
Volume Desciption unit price Price (Rs)
200 gm Atta (wheat flour) 4 chappatis 20/kg 4
100gm Chick Peas (cholley) 30/kg 3

Green chillies 4 chillies neg 0.5
5 gm MDH mixed spice 5 gms
0.75
1 tsp salt neg 0.5
1 tsp Detergent For cleaning neg 0.5
50 gms potato 10/kg 0.5
100 ml kerosene runs for 45 mins** 15/lit 1.5
1 Tbsp 15gm cooking oil 50/lit 0.75



12



** 25 mins for cooking chick peas and another 20 mins for roti , assuming a slow cooker

tsp = tea spoon 5 gms

tbsp = table spoon 15 gms

Price of water was not included

Net calories from the meal would be like this

Base 2000 calories/day *** Calories
Atta (wheat flour) 4 chappatis 733
Chick Peas (cholley) 340
cooking oil 120

1193




*** Contingent on BMI, Age and Gender

Lets take another look at the final product


Final Product
4 chappatis 200 gm
bhaji or salan 150 Gm

350 Gms





surely a meal is possible if it is cooked in our kitchen with basic ingredients – with high inflation and devalued rupee – this meal could and may be the only hope . We can still add variation like 100 gms of rice with one banana and still the price seems to be within the domain of 12 rupees may be little more.

I think to keep the quality and the price of the food lower, we need not eat a meal which is semi processed like wholesome food, cheap fruits like banana only. Now the question is can we have a meal at RS 5, surely but all the ingredients have to subsidized like RS 2 /kg rice or wheat and Rs 10/kg chick peas, but surely under any circumstances it is NOT possible to have this meal at Rs 1. The politician concerned better proves us wrong or keep his mouth shut with red delicious!

Lets us this question again – can we eat this food everyday – surely not we can have many variations but Rs 12 is an abject number it's got to go up and not down.